Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 56.580177 64.584908 72.808662 81.854238 91.490990 101.419669 112.391601
2025-12-14 43.742718 55.044896 67.239241 81.228689 96.698735 113.162029 131.890121
2025-12-21 35.227851 48.053803 62.442851 79.477041 98.817164 119.853259 144.236199
2025-12-28 31.559545 45.928681 62.546083 82.681499 105.975483 131.695891 161.885372
2026-01-04 27.905739 43.306258 61.646831 84.354770 111.070675 140.959855 176.422188
2026-01-11 23.823074 39.686223 59.181954 83.861793 113.389186 146.849538 186.959541
2026-01-18 20.392538 36.520369 56.969529 83.407868 115.532377 152.358219 196.906559
2026-01-25 17.849263 34.256269 55.671268 83.884396 118.629200 158.851922 207.882550
2026-02-01 15.199305 31.555229 53.596349 83.218913 120.208552 163.457785 216.581051
2026-02-08 13.107132 29.423366 52.097873 83.138885 122.387120 168.682857 225.928217
2026-02-15 10.993374 27.007761 50.039751 82.198966 123.394925 172.428902 233.470728
2026-02-22 9.770867 25.852467 49.621105 83.314424 126.898831 179.121947 244.454426
2026-03-01 8.726684 24.894232 49.440687 84.741228 130.822875 186.378079 256.192317
2026-03-08 7.188508 22.875115 47.604216 83.863645 131.768944 189.984926 263.567282
2026-03-15 5.658093 20.603167 45.226968 82.123610 131.512867 192.047090 269.029962
2026-03-22 5.391024 20.745042 46.486892 85.378313 137.692563 202.014105 283.996996
2026-03-29 4.831517 20.207485 46.653291 87.082979 141.843153 209.470216 295.936403
2026-04-05 3.922738 18.757177 45.294502 86.580942 143.066437 213.269513 303.431694
2026-04-12 3.143078 17.415324 44.012422 86.118949 144.292641 217.037212 310.862343
2026-04-19 2.607395 16.533692 43.420104 86.603988 146.742531 222.314540 320.118388
2026-04-26 1.993229 15.255719 42.071324 85.926602 147.598496 225.560305 326.870516
2026-05-03 1.542209 14.276228 41.161328 85.845139 149.220160 229.748393 334.761445
2026-05-10 1.083273 13.042638 39.706885 84.888327 149.613086 232.348524 340.676293